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Conditioning Reservoir Models To Pressure Transients By Iterative Ensemble Smoother
- Publisher: European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers
- Source: Conference Proceedings, ECMOR XVI - 16th European Conference on the Mathematics of Oil Recovery, Sep 2018, Volume 2018, p.1 - 12
Abstract
Recent developments in permanent reservoir monitoring and well surveillance enable accurate, real-time downhole pressure measurements, providing enormous amount of data.
A number of previous studies had shown that integrating well test data into reservoir models improves significantly their predicting capability.
In our study, the iterative Ensemble Smoother was applied to condition permeability field to well test data. 1D and 2D synthetic reservoir models were used to investigate the method performance with respect to measurement error and localization which we consider important from practical point of view.
At first, we analyzed the influence of measurement error. Despite of high accuracy of the modern pressure gauges, the pressure data are often quite noisy. In practice, various filtering, denoising and smoothing techniques are employed in order to clarify the reservoir response and reduce data uncertainty. We evaluated several cases with different variance of measurement error. The comparison revealed that the pressure data noise has strong impact on the parameter estimation and the method convergence. In many cases, the noise caused the ensemble drifting away from the true solution.
Another important practical aspect is localization of model updates. During well test, pressure transients reflect pressure propagation away from the well. The propagation dynamic is governed by the formation properties within the disturbed reservoir domain. Therefore, the pressure measurements at a given time may be used for updating formation properties in the model only within the disturbed domain around the well. This would lead to the conclusion that a localization technique may be employed to relate model updates to relevant observations representing response from different reservoir areas. A time/distance dependent localization technique was tested to address this problem. The testing results showed that the proposed localization technique allowed for better estimation of permeability distribution (in terms of discrepancy with the true case). Validation by a blind test showed a better uncertainty propagation as the final ensemble retained significant diversity in areas remoted from test wells, in contrast to the non-localized case.